Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Dinamo Zagreb		Astana

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7.5
	1.35	5	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5	8
	1.34	5.45	9.31
	1.32	5.35	8.8
	1.36	5.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	5.24 ↑ (5.1)	8.42 ↓ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
70.6%

Draw
18.1%

Astana
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.4%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

18%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	5%	20%

Dinamo Zagreb - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 2. Moharrami S. 55. Peric D. 4. Sutalo B. 14. Ljubicic R. 31. Bulat M. 27. Misic J. 11. Emreli M. 10. Baturina M. 72. Vidovic G. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	93. Condric J. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 33. Tomasevic Z. 45. Amanovic A. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 7. Ebong M. 44. Loncar S. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. 88. Darboe D. 23. Ourega F.
Substitutes
6. Bernauer M. 18. Drmic J. 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Marin A. 70. Menalo L. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 39. Perkovic M. 41. Rukavina G. 3. Sosa J. 25. Sucic P. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Darabayev A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Haroyan V. 29. Jovancic D. 8. Kuat I. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Babayan G.

Preview

Dinamo Zagreb is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Astana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dinamo Zagreb is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Stojkovic L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Kacavenda L. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Zagreb won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
16.09.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Sparta Prague - Dinamo Zagreb	4:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
27.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
16.09.23	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Partizani Tirana - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
27.08.23	Kairat - Astana	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Astana - Partizani Tirana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
20.08.23	Astana - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
25.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	4:0
14.08.18	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	1:0
07.08.18	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2

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