Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix
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Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Dinamo Zagreb		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15
	3.3	3.55	2.22
	3.4	3.55	2.23
	3.19	3.5	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
29.3%

Draw
27.3%

Fenerbahçe
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.5%	11.8%	62.7%

Dinamo Zagreb - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 32 - 65.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 52% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 4 - 19%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 8. Zajc M. 27. Misic J. (C) 21. Lisica M. 77. Ljubicic D. 11. Hoxha A. 9. Beljo D.	31. Ederson (G) 4. Soyuncu C. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 27. Semedo N. 21. Asensio M. 45. Nene D. 53. Szymanski S. 9. Akturkoglu K. 19. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
71. Bakrar M. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Mudrazija R. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 7. Stojkovic L. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 23. Varela C. 10. Vidovic G. 6. Villar G.	70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 7. Fred 17. Kahveci I. C. 18. Muldur M. 23. Tosun C. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Szymanski S. ⚽,
39', Tedesco D. 🟨,
41', Beljo D. 🟨,
43', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
45', Valincic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Beljo D. ⚽, Hoxha A. (A),
59', Soyuncu C. ↓, Fred ↑,
72', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
72', Szymanski S. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
75', Lisica M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
75', Ljubicic D. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
75', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
84', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
90', Hoxha A. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
90+1', Aydin O. 🟨,
90+4', Zajc M. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
90+4', Fred 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽, Kulenovic S. (A),

Preview

Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fenerbahçe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dinamo Zagreb may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fenerbahçe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Pierre-Gabriel R. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Duran J. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Mercan L. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Inactive) Talisca (Red Card) Yandas M. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
20.09.25	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.09.25	Dinamo Predavac - Dinamo Zagreb	0:6 ✺
Croatian HNL
30.08.25	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
21.09.25	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.11.18	Fenerbahçe - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
20.09.18	Dinamo Zagreb - Fenerbahçe	4:1

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