Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Dender EH		Genk

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.13	3.52	1.97
	3.86	3.48	1.98
	4	3.25	1.91
	4.32	3.48	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.65)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	1.95 (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
23.7%

Draw
27.8%

Genk
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	4.8%	85.7%

Dender EH - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 5. Marijnissen L. 21. Cools K. 7. Goncalves B. 70. Sambu M. 17. Mbamba N. 24. Viltard M. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 9. Toshevski D. 77. Nsimba B.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 20. Karetsas K. 8. Heynen B. 38. Heymans D. 10. Ito J. 23. Bibout A. 19. Medina Y.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 44. De Fougerolles L. 6. De Kerf B. 10. Dion M. S. 1. Fortin L. (G) 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 18. Rodes N.	21. Bangoura I. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Milkon H.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Heymans D. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sambu M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
46', Toshevski D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
47', Nsimba B. 🟨,
48', Cools K. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Nsimba B. ⚽,
65', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
65', Karetsas K. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
71', Viltard M. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
77', Sor Y. ↓, Kongolo J. ↑,
81', Marijnissen L. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
82', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
83', Bibout A. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
88', Kvet R. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
90+2', Rodes N. 🟨,
90+4', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
90+6', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
90+6', Gallon G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Genk is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.26	Anderlecht - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
14.01.26	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	KV Mechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLTL
- Racing Genk
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Genk - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.26	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Utrecht - Genk	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Genk - Diósgyőri	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.10.25	Genk - Dender EH	2:1
08.03.25	Dender EH - Genk	0:1
22.09.24	Genk - Dender EH	4:0

Dender EH - Genk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide