Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Dinamo Zagreb		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	4.1	3.45	2
	3.85	3.25	2.02
	3.98	3.4	2.07
	3.7	3.3	2.05
	4	3.54	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.27)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
25%

Draw
28.1%

Sevilla
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

18.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	19.3%	69.9%

Dinamo Zagreb - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 9 - 10.8%). Sevilla will win (votes: 58 - 69.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 19.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 60% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Dinamo Zagreb has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sevilla has a very good chance of round of 16 (96%), has a good chance of qtrs (64%), has a chance of semis (34%), has a chance of final (17%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has big quality 70, big importance 75, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Sevilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
20.02.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
12.02.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
20.02.22	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.02.22	Sevilla - Elche	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Osasuna - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1
UEFA Champions League
02.11.16	Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb	4:0
18.10.16	Dinamo Zagreb - Sevilla	0:1

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