Match Info

Date: 17 February 2022, Thursday


	Sevilla		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.47	4.2	7.25
	1.45	4.25	8
	1.43	4.2	8
	1.47	4.26	8.61
	1.44	4	8.5
	1.47	4.33	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.22 ↓ (4.61)	8.09 ↑ (8.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
65.6%

Draw
22.6%

Dinamo Zagreb
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.6%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

12%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	4.8%	4.8%

Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (131 of 145 users predict this - 90.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.53% – 95.15%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Sevilla has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a good chance of qtrs (53%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Dinamo Zagreb has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 70, importance 62, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dinamo Zagreb is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of home games.

In this match Sevilla is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
11.02.22	Sevilla - Elche	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Osasuna - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
19.01.22	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.22	Betis - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTTTL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
12.02.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Sturm Graz	4:3 ✺
19.01.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Domžale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.16	Sevilla - Dinamo Zagreb	4:0
18.10.16	Dinamo Zagreb - Sevilla	0:1

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