Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:00	MAX Sport
Czech Republic	20:00	Sport 2


	Dinamo Zagreb		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.95
	2.38	3.35	3
	2.4	3.28	3
	2.49	3.25	3.09
	2.2	3	3
	2.39	3.26	2.98
	2.37	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.06)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
39.6%

Draw
29.1%

Sparta Prague
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.4%	22.7%	15.9%

Dinamo Zagreb - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 47% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 2. Moharrami S. 13. Ristovski S. 55. Peric D. 14. Ljubicic R. 27. Misic J. 31. Bulat M. 77. Spikic D. 10. Baturina M. 7. Ivanusec L. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	1. Vindahl P. (G) 25. Sorensen A. 27. Panak F. 37. Krejci L. (C) 28. Wiesner T. 18. Sadilek L. 6. Kairinen K. 30. Zeleny J. 14. Birmancevic V. 7. Olatunji V. 22. Haraslin L.
Substitutes
6. Bernauer M. 18. Drmic J. 11. Emreli M. 30. Kaneko T. 20. Marin A. 70. Menalo L. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 41. Rukavina G. 86. Stojkovic L. 25. Sucic P. 4. Sutalo B. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	5. Gomez J. 10. Karabec A. 9. Kuchta J. 20. Laci Q. 11. Minchev M. 8. Pavelka D. 21. Pesek J. 32. Rynes M. 39. Sejk V. 41. Vitik M. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Priske B.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sparta Prague could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dinamo Zagreb will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Champions League
19.08.23	AEK Athens - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
15.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
05.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
29.07.23	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
19.08.23	Teplice - Sparta Prague	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Sparta Prague - Copenhagen	3:4 penalties ✺
Czech 1 Liga
12.08.23	Jablonec - Sparta Prague	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Copenhagen - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
05.08.23	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Sparta Prague	1:1

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