Match Info

Date: 5 November 2020, Thursday


	Dinamo Zagreb		Wolfsberger

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.5
	2.05	3.7	3.4
	2.05	3.75	3.5
	2.01	3.55	3.45
	2.03	3.71	3.68
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.04	3.74	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	3.65 ↑ (3.44)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
47%

Draw
26.2%

Wolfsberger
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

19%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.8%	17.8%	26.4%

Dinamo Zagreb - Wolfsberger Predictions

Users Predictions: 129 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 72 - 55.8%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 34 - 26.4%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 47.2% – 64.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Dinamo Zagreb has a good chance of round of 32 (60%), has a chance of round of 16 (25%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wolfsberger has a chance of round of 32 (48%), has a small chance of round of 16 (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
01.11.20	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.10.20	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
17.10.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWTW
- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
01.11.20	Admira - Wolfsberger	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Feyenoord - Wolfsberger	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.10.20	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Wolfsberger - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.10.20	Wolfsberger - Ried	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLTW

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