Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Dingnan United		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10	5.5	1.22
	19	9.2	1.1
	9.19	5.2	1.22
	16.57	9.88	1.08	Watch
	28	11	1.04	Watch
	19	9.2	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.96 ↑ (7.8)	8.33 ↑ (4.72)	1.13 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
5.5%

Draw
11.3%

Yunnan Yukun
83.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

19.7%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

18.7%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dingnan United's form might have worsened.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunnan Yukun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunnan Yukun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Dingnan United - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dingnan United (votes: 1 - 50%). Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 0, Erikys ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Han Zilong ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Pedro H. ⚽,

Preview

Dingnan United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yunnan Yukun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Dingnan United - Liaoning Tieren	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Dingnan United - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
16.05.25	Yunnan Yukun - Meizhou Hakka	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan	3:2 ✺
01.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
25.04.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

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