Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Yunnan Yukun		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.25
	1.33	5.6	7.2	Watch
	1.37	5.49	7.45
	1.36	5.24	7.21	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.35	5.54	7.8	Watch
	1.33	5.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.9)	5.23 ↑ (3.85)	6.89 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
68.4%

Draw
17.9%

Meizhou Hakka
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Meizhou Hakka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Yunnan Yukun - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Yunnan Yukun (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yunnan Yukun will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ma Zhen (G) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 26. Zhang Chenliang 15. Martinez J. 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 8. Ye Chugui 30. Saeter J. (C) 14. Nene 27. Han Zilong 25. Taty Maritu O. 10. Ionita II A.	41. Guo Quanbo (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 4. Jocic B. 20. Wang Jia'nan 28. Zhong Haoran 15. Chen Xuhuang 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 10. Rodrigo Henrique 26. Liu Yun 16. Yang Chaosheng
Substitutes
19. Duan Dezhi 31. Geng Xiaofeng (G) 21. Li B. 7. Luo Jing 9. Pedro H. 17. Sun Xuelong 29. Yang He 23. Yin Congyao 18. Yi Teng 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 20. Zhang Yufeng	14. Ji Shengpan 30. Ling Zhongyang 7. Li Ning 1. Mai Gaoling (G) 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 18. Wei Zhiwei 19. Wen Da 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Andersen J.	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Ionita II A. ⚽, Nene (A),
32', Yue Tze-Nam 🟨,
45+1', Liu Yun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Ye Chugui ⚽,
56', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
72', Ye Chugui ↓, Sun Xuelong ↑,
72', Ionita II A. ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
79', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
79', Zhong Haoran ↓, Wen Da ↑,
80', Tsui Wang-Kit ↓, Zhang Xiangshuo ↑,
84', Ma Zhen 🟨,
86', Han Zilong ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
86', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
86', Liu Yun ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
86', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Li Ning ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

Yunnan Yukun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Meizhou Hakka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Meizhou Hakka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Li Songyi (Inactive)

There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Han Zilong (Injury) Zhao Yuhao (Inactive)

There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Yang Chaosheng (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
11.05.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan	3:2 ✺
01.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
25.04.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLLT
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
10.05.25	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:4 ✺
06.05.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTW

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