The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos 15.2%
Draw 21.3%
Diriangén 63.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13%
19.5%
67.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.5%
18.8%
70%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Marcos - Diriangén Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Quinones J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Emmons J. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Barja B. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Olier A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals)).
In recent outings, San Marcos has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Diriangén is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Diriangén has had a run of games away from home.
The betting markets point to Diriangén as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, San Marcos has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.