Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gradski stadion (Ruse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Dunav Ruse		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.15	1.8	Watch
	3.06	2.46	2.87	Watch
	4.35	3.26	1.84	Watch
	5.33	3.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.43)	3.03 ↓ (3.49)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunav Ruse
22.5%

Draw
31.3%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.1%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunav Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
104', 🟥,
115', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunav Ruse won 1.

Dunav Ruse has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dunav Ruse won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunav Ruse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Benkovski Isperih - Dunav Ruse	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dunav Ruse	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.12.19	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:3
19.08.19	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	3:1
19.04.19	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0
29.03.19	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	1:1
09.03.19	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	4:1
Bulgarian Cup
30.10.18	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.10.18	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0

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