Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Dongguan Guanlian		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	15.5	8.5	1.1	Watch
	15	9	1.09
	17.37	9.41	1.12
	19	7	1.1
	18.25	8.4	1.11	Watch
	17	7.6	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.02 ↑ (6.5)	8.32 ↑ (4.7)	1.1 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dongguan Guanlian
5.4%

Draw
11.1%

Shandong Taishan
83.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

19.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

18.8%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dongguan Guanlian's form might have worsened.

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shandong Taishan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dongguan Guanlian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dongguan Guanlian - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shandong Taishan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shandong Taishan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shandong Taishan is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
17.06.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2 ✺
03.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Dalian Zhixing - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLWT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Shandong Taishan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
20.05.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWT

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