Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Villa R. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Dorados		Irapuato

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.1
	2.88	3.45	2.22
	3.11	3.61	2.25
	3.00	3.42	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.9	3.44	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	3.44 ↓ (3.76)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
31.6%

Draw
26.8%

Irapuato
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Dorados - Irapuato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Vaal J. (G) 7. Alvarez J. 8. Cortes J. 12. Egana A. 15. Galicia C. 3. Manriquez S. 9. Rengifo J. 6. Rochester L. 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. (C) 25. Velazco E.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 3. Alvarado V. 5. Elbis 31. Pena R. 9. Pucheta J. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 23. Zamudio J.
Substitutes
20. Araujo D. 10. Bonilla E. 5. Flores A. 11. Garcia L. 18. Higuera C. (G) 16. Martinez D. 33. Parra R. 14. Sol M. 19. Vazquez D. 2. Yanez S.	17. Cervantes D. 14. de Alba J. 6. del Angel E. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 22. Munoz G. 35. Perez A. 4. Rivera M. 19. Santana C. 26. Santillan E.
Coaches
Saucedo C.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Hernandez H. 🟨,
40', Cortes J. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽, Rangel J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvarez J. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
59', Egana A. ↓, Bonilla E. ↑,
61', Sanchez B. 🟨,
68', Sanchez E. 🟨,
71', Sanchez E. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
71', Manriquez S. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
78', Sanchez B. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
78', Zamudio J. ↓, Santillan E. ↑,
84', Alvarado V. 🟨,
84', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', Rangel J. ↓, del Angel E. ↑,
88', Pucheta J. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
88', Garcia L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
89', Pena R. 🟨,
90+3', Ruiz J. ↓, de Alba J. ↑,
90+5', Bonilla E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.

Dorados is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Irapuato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorados - Venados	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Dorados	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Dorados - Cancún	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.08.25	Irapuato - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Atlante - Irapuato	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Irapuato - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	4:2 ✺
01.08.25	Irapuato - Venados	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.04.15	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
Copa Mexico
17.02.15	Dorados - Irapuato	3:0
04.02.15	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.10.14	Dorados - Irapuato	0:1
16.02.13	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
01.09.12	Dorados - Irapuato	1:1

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