Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)


	Irapuato		Tlaxcala

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.62	3.95	4.45
	1.66	4.2	4.73
	1.12	9.37	14.05	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.64	4.06	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	4.8 ↑ (3.94)	5.81 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
61.9%

Draw
20.9%

Tlaxcala
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irapuato's performance.

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Irapuato - Tlaxcala Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Irapuato (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Irapuato will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Irapuato will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 3. Alvarado V. 6. del Angel E. 5. Elbis 22. Munoz G. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 19. Santana C.	1. Mata F. (G) 23. Barragan J. 28. Becerra L. 18. Buganza F. 6. Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 2. Gonzalez P. 8. Plascencia F. 24. Robles E. 16. Solis E. (C) 15. Tejeda D. 21. Zaragoza A.
Substitutes
17. Cervantes D. 14. de Alba J. 1. Magana G. (G) 15. Magana L. J. D. 13. Martinez R. 9. Pucheta J. 4. Rivera M. 26. Santillan E. 7. Sosa J. 23. Zamudio J.	17. Castillo E. 4. Fabio Erins 22. Guerrero H. 12. Lazaro J. 13. Mendoza H. (G) 34. Morales A. 25. Rojas H. 11. Salomon O. 14. Vazquez J. 10. Viniegra A.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Fabian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rangel J. ⚽, Sanchez B. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Munoz G. ⚽, Sanchez B. (A),
34', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
41', Rangel J. 🟨,
43', Sanchez B. 🟨,
45+1', Plascencia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zaragoza A. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
57', Tejeda D. ↓, Viniegra A. ↑,
57', Solis E. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
58', Sandoval R. 🟨,
63', Vazquez J. 🟨,
65', Munoz G. 🟨,
70', Rangel J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
70', Santana C. ↓, Pucheta J. ↑,
72', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 🟨,
79', Plascencia F. ↓, Guerrero H. ↑,
81', Sanchez B. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
81', Munoz G. ↓, Santillan E. ↑,
88', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
88', del Angel E. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Pucheta J. ⚽, Martinez R. (A),

Preview

Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	4:2 ✺
01.08.25	Irapuato - Venados	4:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.05.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros de Peribán	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWT
- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.08.25	Cancún - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tlaxcala - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Venados - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tlaxcala - Celaya	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.20	Irapuato - Tlaxcala	2:3 penalties
05.10.19	Tlaxcala - Irapuato	0:1

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