Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Dorados		Venados

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.35	3.66	2.09
	5.49	2.94	1.83	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.29	3.49	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.51)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	2.01 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
25.8%

Draw
27.8%

Venados
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venados's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Dorados - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Higuera C. (G) 10. Bonilla E. 8. Cortes J. 5. Flores A. 11. Garcia L. 3. Manriquez S. 33. Parra R. 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. (C) 22. Vargas L. 19. Vazquez D.	1. Reyes D. (G) 7. Calero J. 19. Catalan A. 8. Dominguez A. 23. Galvan P. 4. Grijalva A. 21. Lopez C. 6. Lopez F. 15. Navarrete D. 25. Trejo Castro M. A. 33. Vidrio N. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 20. Araujo D. 15. Galicia C. 16. Martinez D. 9. Rengifo J. 6. Rochester L. 14. Sol M. 30. Vaal J. (G) 26. Valenzuela A. 25. Velazco E.	12. Acosta C. 18. Amador K. 2. Casillas J. 28. Delgado A. (G) 16. Espinosa E. 10. Guzman W. 3. Levin J. 11. Madrid W. 5. Miranda J. 22. Sancho J.
Coaches
Saucedo C.	Esparza R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bonilla E. 🟥,
24', Lopez F. 🟨,
29', Galvan P. 🟨,
31', 🟨,
36', Garcia L. 🟨,
44', Vidrio N. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+1', Galvan P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Calero J. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
57', Lopez F. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
67', Catalan A. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
67', Dominguez A. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
72', Flores A. ↓, Rochester L. ↑,
72', Vazquez D. ↓, Araujo D. ↑,
72', Sanchez E. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
76', Lopez C. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
76', Garcia L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
82', Vargas L. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Galicia C. ⚽,
88', Galicia C. 🟨,
90+3', Alvarez J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.

Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Dorados	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Dorados - Cancún	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Dorados - Venados	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTW
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
01.08.25	Irapuato - Venados	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Venados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Venados	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.04.25	Dorados - Venados	3:1
18.10.24	Venados - Dorados	4:0
31.01.24	Dorados - Venados	2:3
15.10.23	Venados - Dorados	4:1
11.04.23	Dorados - Venados	0:5
10.08.22	Venados - Dorados	1:1
29.03.22	Venados - Dorados	2:1

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