The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 29%
Draw 25.2%
Dordrecht 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
24.8%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
24.5%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
7.1%
64.3%
Jong PSV - Dordrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schiks N. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Monamay M. 5. Kuhn W. (C) 6. Sidibe S. 7. Verkooijen N. 9. Bouhoudane S. 8. van den Berg J. 11. Bouhamdi A. 10. Koller J.
63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 25. Plug J. 20. Yoon D. 6. van Vianen D. 8. Sunderland L. 5. Mica Pinto 22. Darelas A. 7. Venema N. 9. Carrillo S.
Substitutes
17. Bahaty M. 14. Jonkers B. 21. Khaderi B. 19. Kluit F. 23. Kuijsten S. (G) 16. Ngom K. (G) 18. Raap Y. 15. van de Riet R. 20. Verhulst G.
11. Afaker M. 16. Bae S. 77. Bischof N. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 59. de Bie J. 29. Rossi N. 2. van Aken J. 18. van Asten R. 10. van der Sluijs J. 21. Vetkal M. 23. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Schaars S.
Kuyt D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Bouhamdi A. 🟨,
32', Koller J. 🟨,
37', Yoon D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
61', Mica Pinto ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
61', Carrillo S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
61', Sunderland L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
65', Sidibe S. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, van Vianen D. ⚽, Venema N. (A),
73', Koller J. ↓, Khaderi B. ↑,
74', van Vianen D. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
74', Bassey E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
76', Monamay M. 🟨,
82', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2.
Jong PSV has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dordrecht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Fernandez N.
(Illness)
Merien F.
(Yellow Cards)
Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Dordrecht: Hilton J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Dordrecht: 0.65% Jong PSV: 0.59%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Jong PSV
10
3
4
3
15:17
-2
13
19
Dordrecht
10
2
2
6
13:27
-14
8
Last Results with these Odds
Dordrecht - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.49%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.