Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.95
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.64	3.59	2.03
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.46	3.42	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3)	3.45 (3.45)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
27.5%

Draw
26.8%

Barnet
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 8. Leesley J. 15. McDonagh G. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C.	1. Walker L. (G) 33. Brunt Z. 4. Collinge D. 2. Hall-Johnson R. 18. Hartigan A. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 6. Okimo J. 22. Oluwo A. 14. Pritchard H. (C) 10. Stead C.
Substitutes
28. Hall K. 18. Lissimore K. 22. Maguire B. 7. Phillips K.	5. Armstrong M. 25. Barratt S. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 8. Gorman D. 30. Potter F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Kidderminster has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barnet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
26.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Gateshead - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Barnet
English National League
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4 ✺
23.09.23	Barnet - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Rochdale - Barnet	4:2 ✺
09.09.23	Barnet - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.15	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:1
11.10.14	Barnet - Kidderminster Harriers	3:3
15.03.14	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:0
02.11.13	Barnet - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0

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