Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Miguel Morales (Pergamino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Douglas Haig		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.1
	1.52	3.43	6.12
	1.59	3.43	6.63	Watch
	1.57	3.3	6
	1.54	3.5	6.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.41)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	6.19 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
58.8%

Draw
26.5%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

25.8%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

25.1%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douglas Haig's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perrone F. (G) 11. Arriola C. 6. Canela N. 3. Cuello L. 7. Fiorito S. 8. Levato J. 4. Magnago B. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G. 2. Pezzi A.	5. Altamirano L. 1. Baro R. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 11. Garcia A. 10. Germanier N. 3. Gomez N. 6. Laumann F. 2. Palladino T. 7. Rocca F. 9. Sonzogni A.
Substitutes
12. Auil A. (G) 18. Gimenez M. 14. Lopez L. 13. Ojeda L. 16. Ponce de Leon M. 20. Reta F. 19. Rosciano L. 15. Seratto R. 17. Tus E.	15. Arraigada A. 16. Baltore D. 18. Bogado M. 12. Bortagaray J. (G) 20. Dening L. 13. Olague R. 17. Rodriguez J. 14. Suarez N. 19. Valle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Douglas Haig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Douglas Haig is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Douglas Haig won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Douglas Haig - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:3
14.06.25	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
13.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	0:0
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	Douglas Haig awarded
09.06.24	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:1
14.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:1
13.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:1

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