Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Miguel Morales (Pergamino)


	Douglas Haig		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.99	3.45
	2.43	2.84	3.20	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.59)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)	3.33 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
41.1%

Draw
31.4%

Juventud Antoniana
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

28.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douglas Haig's form might have worsened.

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud Antoniana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud Antoniana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Douglas Haig - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacher E. (G) 8. Baglivo G. L. 6. Bazzana N. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gutierrez S. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 2. Pezzi A. 11. Ponce de Leon M. 7. Tus E.	1. Perrone F. (G) 4. Carrion A. 9. Franzoni J. 10. Frutos S. 2. Lopez J. 11. Palacios J. 7. Puntano G. 8. Romero E. M. 6. Sanabria I. 5. Vargas M. 3. Viano L.
Substitutes
19. Bogado E. 17. Caballuci R. 12. Carrera J. (G) 16. Castellano J. 14. Cuello L. 20. Jara A. 18. Munoz L. 15. Ojeda L. 13. Sveruk L.	13. Arevalos F. 15. Arraya L. 17. Figueroa J. 16. González N. 18. Hoyos M. 12. Montero M. (G) 14. Ortega P. 19. Valdez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Pezzi A. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Douglas Haig is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juventud Antoniana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventud Antoniana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Douglas Haig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Juventud Antoniana will win today's game, with odds of 3.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Douglas Haig won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Juventud Antoniana - Douglas Haig	1:1
14.08.22	Juventud Antoniana - Douglas Haig	1:1
07.05.22	Douglas Haig - Juventud Antoniana	1:0

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