Match Info

National League South - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Welling United		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.47
	5.8	4	1.52
	6.09	4.07	1.52
	6.19	3.94	1.54	Watch
	5.97	3.84	1.56
	5.8	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↓ (6.09)	3.96 ↓ (3.97)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
15.7%

Draw
23.4%

Maidstone United
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.9%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Welling United - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Blair A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Eweka T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 3, Berkeley-Agyepong J. ⚽,
58', 0 - 4, Brookes B. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

Welling is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maidstone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Maidstone is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Welling won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
12.04.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Welling United - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Chesham United - Welling United	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Welling United - Worthing	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWL
- Maidstone United
English National League South
12.04.25	Maidstone United - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Maidstone United - Boreham Wood	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Maidstone United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.25	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:0
01.04.24	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:1
24.10.23	Welling United - Maidstone United	0:0
02.05.22	Welling United - Maidstone United	3:2
28.12.21	Maidstone United - Welling United	4:1
06.10.20	Maidstone United - Welling United	2:1
07.03.20	Maidstone United - Welling United	3:1

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