Match Info

3. Liga - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Duisburg		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.78
	2.15	3.6	2.66
	2.37	3.61	2.65	Watch
	2.44	3.18	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.37)	3.37 ↓ (3.61)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
38.8%

Draw
27.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Duisburg - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 18. Meuer S. 6. Bulic R. 23. Symalla J. 14. Noss C. 37. Sussek P. 26. Kruger F.	1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 33. Kraulich T. 19. Bouebari F. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 10. Obuz M. 6. Arslan A. (C) 24. Mizuta K. 7. Safi R.
Substitutes
11. Dittgen M. 17. Gockan M. 19. Muller L. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 22. Topken T. 33. Tugbenyo J. 10. Viet C. 30. Visser A.	9. Cuber Potocnik J. 37. Hofmann J. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 28. Moustier T. 30. Owusu K. 4. Schultz M. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Gjasula K. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Kruger F. ⚽, Bitter J. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Safi R. ⚽,
31', Musel T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Safi R. 🟨,
56', Coskun C. 🟨,
57', Meuer S. 🟨,
60', Kostka M. 🟨,
62', Symalla J. 🟨,
63', Meuer S. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
63', Sussek P. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
71', Kruger F. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
74', Safi R. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
74', Obuz M. ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
81', Musel T. ↓, Moustier T. ↑,
85', Coskun C. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
85', Noss C. ↓, Dittgen M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).

Duisburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rot-Weiß Essen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rot-Weiß Essen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.25	1860 München - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWT
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
01.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	4:1
28.10.23	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2
05.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:1
05.08.22	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2

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