Match Info

3. Liga - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Duisburg		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.55	5.9	Watch
	1.46	4.9	6.7
	1.41	5.07	6.2	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.42	4.5	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.54 ↓ (4.99)	6.06 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
64.5%

Draw
20.3%

Viktoria Köln
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

18.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Duisburg - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 27. Coskun C. 6. Bulic R. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 10. Viet C. 31. Kother D. 45. Lobinger L.	27. Schulz A. (G) 18. Kloss T. 2. Dietz L. 6. Eisenhuth T. 11. Velasco R. 4. Duman T. 21. Wolf L. M. 7. Handle S. 5. Munst L. 10. Otto D. 40. Sachse J.
Substitutes
4. Becker D. 8. Casar A. 17. Gockan M. 18. Meuer S. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 37. Sussek P. 23. Symalla J. 22. Topken T.	22. Boboy V. 8. Engelhardt F. 15. Greger C. 41. Kozuki S. 29. Popp L. 26. Richter D. (G) 34. Ronstadt F. 19. Sponsel M. 30. Tonye Y.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Wilhelm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sachse J. 🟨,
30', Eisenhuth T. 🟨,
42', Coskun C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kother D. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Duman T. ⚽,
57', Schlicke B. ↓, Sussek P. ↑,
61', Velasco R. ↓, Tonye Y. ↑,
73', Coskun C. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
73', Kruger F. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Bitter J. ⚽,
78', Jessen N. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
78', Bulic R. 🟨,
83', Duman T. ↓, Engelhardt F. ↑,
83', Sachse J. ↓, Sponsel M. ↑,
90', Eisenhuth T. ↓, Greger C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 1.

Duisburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Viktoria Köln's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Viktoria Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Duisburg is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
2	Viktoria Koln	7	5	0	2	19:9	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.05.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Duisburg - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Alemannia Aachen - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Duisburg - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWW
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.26	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Ulm 1846 - Viktoria Köln	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Viktoria Köln - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Verl - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Viktoria Köln - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0
17.02.24	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:0
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0
17.04.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:2
22.10.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1
05.03.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	2:0
25.09.21	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	4:2

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