Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Alloa Athletic		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.09
	3.39	3.64	2.15
	3.3	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.48	3.28	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
27.8%

Draw
27.6%

Ayr United
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

21.6%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alloa Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alloa Athletic - Ayr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ayr have a series of guest games.

Ayr will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Alloa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Alloa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
19.03.21	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	0:3 ✺
13.03.21	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	2:3 ✺
06.03.21	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
23.02.21	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTLT
- Ayr United
Scottish Cup
23.03.21	Elgin City - Ayr United	0:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
20.03.21	Ayr United - Raith Rovers	1:1 ✺
16.03.21	Dundee - Ayr United	1:3 ✺
13.03.21	Hearts - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
30.01.21	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	4:1
05.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	0:2
29.02.20	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	0:2
14.12.19	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	2:1
21.09.19	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	1:4
04.05.19	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	1:1
02.02.19	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	1:3

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