Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Alloa Athletic		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.72
	4.1	3.65	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.74
	4.5	3.99	1.78
	4.2	3.6	1.73	Watch
	4.15	3.62	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.87)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
21.9%

Draw
25.2%

Raith Rovers
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

20.3%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raith Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alloa Athletic - Raith Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Alloa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raith is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Raith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Raith is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Alloa won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Alloa won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
09.04.21	Hearts - Alloa Athletic	6:0 ✺
03.04.21	Arbroath - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
19.03.21	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	0:3 ✺
13.03.21	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTLW
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
13.04.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
30.03.21	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	5:1 ✺
27.03.21	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
27.02.21	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	3:1
26.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:5
05.05.18	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	1:2
02.05.18	Alloa Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:0
Scottish League One
28.04.18	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	0:0
27.01.18	Alloa Athletic - Raith Rovers	0:0
02.12.17	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	2:1

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