Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)


	Newry City		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.98
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.37	3.72	2.08
	3.37	3.72	2.08
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.34	3.54	2
	3.3	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.71)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
28%

Draw
25.9%

Glenavon
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newry City - Glenavon Predictions

Users Predictions: Glenavon will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maguire S. (G) 16. Bagnall L. 8. Carroll A. 24. Forde L. 2. King D. (C) 10. Lockhart T. 17. Martin A. 11. McGovern J. 49. McGovern P. 38. Poynton G. 33. Scullion D.	1. Brown R. (G) 16. Baird I. 4. Birney C. 10. Campbell P. 2. Kerr C. 17. McCloskey C. 27. McDonagh J. 11. Quinn N. (C) 7. Snoddy M. 23. Wallace D. 30. Ward S.
Substitutes
19. Healy B. 3. Healy N. 18. Moan S. 36. Mooney J. 7. O'Connor C. 39. Owens D. 14. Salley A.	34. Henderson C. 22. Mulvenna T. 21. Prendergast A. 31. Purvis B. (G) 14. Shiel D. 20. Teggart S.
Coaches
Boyle G.	McDonnell S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Newry City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Glenavon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Newry City won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Premiership
22.12.23	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Glentoran - Newry City	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
12.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	4:2 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
08.12.23	Newry City - Ballymena United	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Crusaders - Newry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLLTT
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
23.12.23	Glenavon - Crusaders	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Glenavon - Linfield	0:2 ✺
08.12.23	Larne - Glenavon	4:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
05.12.23	Coleraine - Glenavon	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
02.12.23	Glenavon - Coleraine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
24.11.23	Newry City - Glenavon	0:3
19.08.23	Glenavon - Newry City	1:3
15.04.23	Newry City - Glenavon	0:1
04.03.23	Newry City - Glenavon	0:1
25.02.23	Glenavon - Newry City	0:2
30.08.22	Glenavon - Newry City	1:5
Club Friendly
07.10.20	Newry City - Glenavon	3:2

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