Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Strasbourg		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.5	7
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.46	4.6	6.2	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.45	4.3	6.59	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.42 ↑ (4.41)	6.5 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
64.8%

Draw
20.9%

Dunkerque
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Strasbourg - Dunkerque Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penders M. (G) 2. Hogsberg L. 5. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 4. Ouattara A. 8. Barco V. 6. El Mourabet S. 7. Moreira D. 11. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J. 10. Enciso J.	1. Lavin M. (G) 6. Linguet A. 5. Sasso V. (C) 8. Mayela V. 3. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 7. Yassine G. 4. Diop M. 10. Bardeli E. 11. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
18. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 16. Bajic S. (G) 19. Kodia G. 14. Luis R. 15. Nanasi S. 20. Omobamidele A. 13. Paez K. 12. Sobol E.	18. Daho A. 13. Dziki Loussilaho L. 20. Essimi M. 19. Kante A. 12. N'Doye A. 16. Niflore M. (G) 14. Seha Z. 15. Sekongo A. 17. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Enciso J. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Doukoure I. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Moreira D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
57', Ouattara A. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
63', Diop M. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
63', Zossou A. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
74', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
79', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
79', Bardeli E. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
87', Barco V. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2.

Recent performances by Strasbourg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dunkerque is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Strasbourg - Breiðablik	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Strasbourg - Lorient	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Aberdeen - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTWLL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Reims - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
03.06.16	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:2
07.08.15	Dunkerque - Strasbourg	4:1
17.04.15	Dunkerque - Strasbourg	0:2
21.11.14	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	0:0
09.05.14	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	3:0
20.12.13	Dunkerque - Strasbourg	0:0

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