Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Dunkerque		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.52	4.1	6
	1.53	3.75	6.5
	1.53	4.05	7.28
	1.48	4.07	6.86	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.5
	1.57	4.09	6.55	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)	3.99 ↓ (4.79)	6.52 ↓ (8.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
62.1%

Draw
23.5%

Martigues
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.5%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

18.8%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	30.4%	13%

Dunkerque - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 21. Kondo G. 30. Abner F. 5. Queiros D. 8. Rivera M. 11. Pitu A. 20. Bardeli E. 80. Yassine G. 18. Courtet G.	40. Marillat Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 6. Kembolo F. 26. Belloumou S. (C) 29. Mendy O. 9. Montiel R. 23. Siby M.
Substitutes
19. Bammou Y. 10. Essimi M. 1. Jaouen E. (G) 15. Sekongo A. 13. Senneville C. 9. Tejan K. 17. Youssouf B.	41. Bamba M. 35. Benabdelouahed K. 20. Etile Y. (G) 27. Ipiele A. 24. Morante L. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Castro L.	Malek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pitu A. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
56', Hadjem Y. 🟨,
62', Rivera M. ↓, Senneville C. ↑,
62', Queiros D. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
63', Siby M. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
63', Montiel R. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
72', Linguet A. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
75', Courtet G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
76', Kembolo F. 🟨,
79', Yassine G. 🟨,
80', Hadjem Y. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
87', Youssouf B. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Amraoui A. ⚽, Falette S. (A),
90+1', Mendy O. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Martigues could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.

In this match Dunkerque is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Martigues: Bamba M. (Injury) Diawara A. (Injury) Djaha A. (Injury) Gautier L. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
27.01.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.25	Haguenau - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
10.01.25	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLTT
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
24.01.25	Martigues - Amiens	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Grenoble - Martigues	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Bourgoin-Jallieu - Martigues	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.09.24	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:1
French Ligue 3
24.04.23	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:0
02.12.22	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1

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