Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.55	Watch
	5.00	4.33	1.57
	5.00	3.95	1.61	Watch
	5.01	4.15	1.63
	5.1	4.2	1.59	Watch
	4.95	4.00	1.59
	4.95	3.90	1.64	Watch
	4.90	4.10	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.05)	4.05 ↑ (3.74)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
18.8%

Draw
23%

Saint-Étienne
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

25.2%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dunkerque - Saint Étienne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - St Etienne (1.73) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Moha (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 22. Mayela V. 24. Vallier L. 6. Morel J. 18. Massock T. 7. Ayari K. 10. Lebeau A. 11. Prutsev E. 19. Keita S.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 6. Bernauer M. 16. Svetlin T. 14. Csongvai A. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.
Substitutes
25. Atoen F. 17. Dieng P. M. 4. Lagae B. 94. Mayilla E. 33. Nemorin N. 15. N'Zonzi S. 9. Robail G. 36. Sissokho M. (G) 2. Toure O.	32. Baallal A. 10. Breum J. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 13. Ferreira J. 15. Lamba C. 40. Lavallee L. (G) 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 11. Old B.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
39', Lebeau A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lebeau A. ↓, Robail G. ↑,
51', Svetlin T. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Ayari K. ⚽, Keita S. (A),
53', Ayari K. 🟨,
53', Svetlin T. ↓, Old B. ↑,
53', Ballo T. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Keita S. ⚽, Mayela V. (A),
70', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
70', Pedro K. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
71', Ayari K. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
71', Keita S. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
77', Bernauer M. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
77', Prutsev E. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
85', Morel J. ↓, Atoen F. ↑,
90', Massock T. 🟨,
90+6', Atoen F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Recent performances by Dunkerque have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saint-Étienne is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Knee Injury) Daho A. (Injury) Makhloufi M. (Inactive) Prevot M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Eymard P. (Foot Injury) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Dunkerque: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Saint-Étienne - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
04.09.26	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Reims - Dunkerque	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Dunkerque - Grenoble	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
05.09.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	4:0 ✺
14.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:1
06.12.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0
03.02.24	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0
04.10.23	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:0

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