Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.35	3.2	2.55
	2.61	2.98	2.98
	2.5	2.94	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.38)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)	2.78 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
36.9%

Draw
30.2%

Nova Iguaçu
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

20%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duque de Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duque de Caxias - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Duque de Caxias is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nova Iguaçu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duque de Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Duque de Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Goytacaz - Duque de Caxias	3:1 ✺
18.11.20	Duque de Caxias - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Campos - Duque de Caxias	1:5 ✺
11.11.20	Duque de Caxias - Bonsucesso	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.12.20	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 penalties ✺
28.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Nova Cidade - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
21.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Serrano FC	4:1 ✺
18.11.20	Petrópolis - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	1:1
07.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.01.14	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	1:0

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