Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		1860 München

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	4.2
	1.67	3.75	4.3
	1.66	4.42	4.62
	1.65	4.23	4.52	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.33
	1.61	4.1	4.59	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	4.08 ↓ (4.24)	4.41 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
56.2%

Draw
22.8%

1860 München
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.8%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). 1860 München will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 20. Hoti A. 23. Bunning L. 28. Risch S. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 17. Casar A. 22. Baur M. 10. Lemmer J. 33. Daferner C. 24. Menzel T.	1. Hiller M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 25. Dulic S. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 21. Kwadwo L. 5. Jacobsen T. 18. Kloss T. 9. Abiama D. 7. Guttau J. 30. Wolfram M. 34. Hobsch P.
Substitutes
6. Berger T. 29. Boeder L. 16. Heise P. 15. Kammerknecht C. 11. Kother D. 39. Kubatta D. 30. Kutschke S. 21. Meissner R. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)	36. Deniz T. 3. Lucoqui A. 27. Ott R. 8. Philipp D. 20. Reich L. 16. Reinthaler M. 10. Schubert F. 11. Vollath R. (G)
Coaches
Stamm T.	Glockner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽, Lemmer J. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Kwadwo L. ⚽,
22', Danhof T. 🟨,
24', Jacobsen T. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Daferner C. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Hoti A. ⚽,
43', Kwadwo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 4 - 1, Menzel T. ⚽,
66', Kwadwo L. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
66', Hobsch P. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
71', 5 - 1, Lemmer J. ⚽, Menzel T. (A),
71', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
74', Lucoqui A. 🟨,
76', Jacobsen T. ↓, Deniz T. ↑,
76', Danhof T. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
76', Guttau J. ↓, Reinthaler M. ↑,
81', Lemmer J. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
81', Baur M. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
83', Casar A. 🟨,
86', Hauptmann N. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
86', Casar A. ↓, Kammerknecht C. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 2, Wolfram M. (Pen),

Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 53. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Siniakova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kostyuk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Dynamo Dresden - Viktoria Köln	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLW
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.25	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	1860 München - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.09.24	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	2:3
08.03.24	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1
07.10.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
30.01.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
23.07.22	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	3:4
22.03.21	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
15.11.20	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1

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