Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Variety 4
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 4
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Italy	Sky Sport 252
Kazakhstan	Q Sport
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Sport
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Dynamo Kyiv		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3
	3.3	3.3	2.3
	3.46	3.25	2.34
	3.48	3.12	2.34	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.3
	3.59	3.16	2.29
	3.4	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.65)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
28%

Draw
30.2%

Lazio
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

26.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	28.6%	52.4%

Dynamo Kyiv - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 8 - 20%). Lazio will win (votes: 22 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 39.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 28. Ceballos B. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 76. Pikhalyonok O. 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. (C) 11. Vanat V. 22. Kabaev V.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 4. Patric (C) 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 6. Rovella N. 5. Vecino M. 20. Tchaouna L. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 9. Pedro 19. Dia B.
Substitutes
18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 45. Bragaru M. 29. Buyalskyy V. 3. Dyachuk M. 39. Guerrero E. 20. Karavaev O. 23. Malysh N. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 4. Popov D. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 2. Vivcharenko K.	11. Castellanos T. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 34. Gila M. 8. Guendouzi M. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 30. Tavares N. 10. Zaccagni M.
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Dia B. ⚽, Pedro (A),
19', Ceballos B. ↓, Bilovar K. ↑,
34', 0 - 2, Dele-Bashiru F. ⚽, Vecino M. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Dia B. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Tchaouna L. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
57', Patric ↓, Gila M. ↑,
63', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
64', Shaparenko M. ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
64', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
68', Dia B. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
68', Pedro ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
72', Bragaru M. 🟥,
79', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
82', Noslin T. 🟥,
84', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Andriyevski O. ↑,
84', Kabaev V. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
88', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
90+3', Mykhavko T. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Volksparkstadion.

Dynamo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lazio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lazio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo: Shepelev V. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo: Mykhaylenko M. (Thigh Injury) Ponomarenko M. (Ankle Injury) Popov D. (Back Injury) Voloshyn N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Gigot S. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Fiorentina - Lazio	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Lazio - Verona	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Udinese - Lazio	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.03.18	Dynamo Kyiv - Lazio	0:2
08.03.18	Lazio - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2

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