The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Makhachkala 49.3%
Draw 26.2%
Rodina Moscow 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
23.4%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
22.3%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Makhachkala's form might have worsened.
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Magomedov T. (G) 72. Sandrachuk A. 24. Alarcon A. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 77. Sundukov T. 6. Apshatsev M. 52. Smelov E. 47. Glushkov N. 16. Mrezigue H. 88. Lesovoy D. 11. Miro
13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 75. Nade M. 3. Goglichidze L. 8. Pozo I. 6. Fishchenko R. 9. Maksimenko A. 10. Reyna Y. 17. Bakaev S. 7. Onugkha G.
Substitutes
25. Agalarov G. 43. Akhmedov I. 30. Aleksandrov D. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 13. Kagermazov S. 33. Karabashev N. (G) 8. Khubulov V. 9. Magomedov R. 23. Makhamadzhonov M. 1. Volk D. (G) 19. Zinovich K.
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 77. Gharibyan A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 55. Krizan M. 11. Mansilla B. 38. Musaev L. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Evseev V.
Diaz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Onugkha G. 🟥,
15', Pozo I. 🟨,
22', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
38', Sandrachuk A. ↓, Makhamadzhonov M. ↑,
38', Smelov E. ↓, Agalarov G. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Agalarov G. ⚽, Apshatsev M. (A),
57', Reyna Y. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
57', Pozo I. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
57', Bakaev S. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Mrezigue H. ⚽, Lesovoy D. (A),
65', Diaz J. 🟨,
75', Nade M. ↓, Krizan M. ↑,
80', Maksimenko A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
86', Miro ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
89', Lesovoy D. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
89', Apshatsev M. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
Dynamo Makhachkala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rodina has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Dynamo Makhachkala has had a series of away games.
In this match, Dynamo Makhachkala is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Shumakhov I.
(Knee Injury)
Voronin N.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).