The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC Noroeste 37.3%
Draw 29.5%
Ferroviária 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
29.1%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
29.5%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent matches Noroeste is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ferroviária is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.