Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 36

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.15
	1.84	3.75	4.51
	2.10	3.48	3.39	Watch
	1.87	3.69	4.22	Watch
	1.84	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)	3.63 ↑ (3.48)	4.18 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
50.9%

Draw
26.3%

Fortaleza
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 10. Jhon Jhon 22. Gustavo Neves 21. Lucas Barbosa (C) 8. Eduardo Sasha 9. Pitta I.	12. Brenno (G) 14. Mancuso E. 33. Britez E. (C) 3. Avila G. 16. Diogo Barbosa 30. Pierre 88. Lucas Sasha 7. Pochettino T. 26. Breno Lopes 27. Bareiro A. 80. Herrera J.
Substitutes
18. Borbas T. 27. Davi Gomes 3. Eduardo Santos 37. Fabricio (G) 11. Fernando 31. Guilherme 80. Joao Neto 33. Laquintana I. 35. Matheus Fernandes 45. Nathan Mendes 14. Pedro Henrique 28. Yuri Leles	18. Deyverson 34. Gazal 13. Kuscevic B. 23. Leite H. (G) 91. Lucas Crispim 9. Lucero J. 20. Matheus Rossetto 96. Moises 5. Pereira M. 2. Tinga 36. Weverson 22. Yago Pikachu
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Herrera J. 🟨,
33', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Herrera J. ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
68', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Lucas Crispim (A),
82', Gustavo Neves ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
82', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
82', Gabriel ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
85', Breno Lopes ↓, Gazal ↑,
85', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
90+1', Hurtado A. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
90+1', Pochettino T. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
90+1', Pierre ↓, Pereira M. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.

In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Heel Injury) Eric Ramires (Hamstring Injury) Mosquera H. (Hamstring Injury) Praxedes (Yellow Cards) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Hamstring Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Inactive) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucca Prior (Inactive) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
22.11.25	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.25	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
12.11.25	Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Fortaleza - Grêmio	2:2 ✺
06.11.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Santos - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.07.25	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1
17.08.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	1:2
28.04.24	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
30.11.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	1:2
29.07.23	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
09.11.22	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	6:0
20.07.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	2:1

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