Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Boca do Lobo (Pelotas)


	EC Pelotas		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
				Watch
	2.78	3.18	2.44
	2.74	3.23	2.42
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	2.81	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.83)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

EC Pelotas
32.8%

Draw
29.6%

EC São José Porto Alegre
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

EC Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jorge (G) 6. Bryan 17. Emerson Brito 2. Guilherme Gusso 4. Heverton (C) 9. Leo Ferraz 10. Luizinho 15. Mateus Silva 11. Ruster 8. Venicio 3. Yuri Bigode	1. Peralta A. (G) 2. Danielzinho 10. Ghiven 7. Giovane Gomez 8. Gustavo Bagatini 6. Lailson 5. Marco Freitas 18. Marquinhos 4. Rafael Dumas 11. Rene 3. Tiago Pedra
Substitutes
12. Ari (G) 21. Bosenbecker J. P. 20. Bruno Martins 16. Bruno Re 13. Duda 5. Jacone 7. Marcelinho 23. Murilo (G) 19. Tiago Troleze 14. Victor Massaia 18. Xandy	22. Anderson 21. Diniz K. 9. Douglas Oliveira 12. Edson Junior (G) 20. Evaristo 17. Kayan 14. Lucas Hulk 16. Maicon Assis 19. Marcos Vinicius 15. Neko 33. Pablo (G) 13. Prado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Leo Ferraz ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marquinhos ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
46', Marco Freitas ↓, Neko ↑,
46', Lailson ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
56', Leo Ferraz 🟨,
61', Bryan ↓, Bruno Re ↑,
61', Ruster ↓, Xandy ↑,
61', Mateus Silva ↓, Tiago Troleze ↑,
69', Rene ↓, Maicon Assis ↑,
75', Heverton 🟨,
82', Gustavo Bagatini ↓, Kayan ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Emerson Brito ⚽,
90+7', Giovane Gomez (Pen),
90+7', 2 - 1, Giovane Gomez ⚽,

Preview

Pelotas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches EC São José is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EC São José could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.03.25	Avenida - EC Pelotas	4:1 ✺
05.03.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTT
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Copa do Brasil
11.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Oratório - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
19.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	2:2
22.01.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	1:1
19.04.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	1:1

EC Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide