Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Passo d'Areia (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Avenida

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	6	Watch
	1.68	3.2	5.25
				Watch
	1.76	3.01	5.37
	1.74	3.06	5.41
	1.75	3	5
	1.7	3.19	5.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	3.11 ↓ (3.27)	5.5 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
53.6%

Draw
29.7%

Avenida
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

28.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

27.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-2%)

EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 2. Danielzinho 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Gabriel Terra 7. Giovane Gomez 4. Jadson 5. Jhonata Varela 6. Lailson 8. Maicon Assis 3. Rafael Dumas 11. Rene	1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 5. Amaral 6. Jimenez J. 20. JP Bardales 2. Kevlin 7. Laion 13. Leo Cruz 8. Luiz Meneses 11. Matheus Martins 9. Michel 4. Vitor Dadalt
Substitutes
22. Evaristo 18. Ghiven 16. Gustavo Bagatini 21. Kayan 17. Lucas Hulk 15. Marco Freitas 19. Marcos Vinicius 20. Marquinhos 13. Neko 33. Pablo (G) 12. Peralta A. (G) 14. Tiago Pedra	18. Brayan 10. Bustamante H. 16. David Luis 12. Gabriel Toebe (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 3. Micael 23. Paniagua M. 14. Rafael Klein 22. Ronald (G) 17. Tallyson 19. Vitorio Poletto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Rene ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kevlin ↓, Gorgoroso Y. ↑,
63', Douglas Oliveira 🟨,
64', Luiz Meneses ↓, Bustamante H. ↑,
69', Maicon Assis ↓, Gustavo Bagatini ↑,
74', JP Bardales ↓, Tallyson ↑,
74', Michel ↓, Brayan ↑,
79', Rene ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
90+2', Giovane Gomez ↓, Tiago Pedra ↑,
90+4', Vitor Dadalt ↓, Rafael Klein ↑,
90+9', Danielzinho 🟨,
90+12', Leo Cruz 🟨,
90+12', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
90+14', Leo Cruz 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches EC São José won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

EC São José could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently EC São José have a series of guest games.

Recently Avenida have a series of home games.

In this match EC São José is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches EC São José won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams EC São José won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Oratório - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:3 ✺
19.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTT
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Avenida - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2
02.03.24	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0
04.03.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	2:2
17.03.19	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3
14.02.18	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	0:0
01.02.15	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	2:0

EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide