Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.43	2.89	3.34
	2.1	3.2	2.9
	2.25	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
40.6%

Draw
29.4%

Operário Ferroviario
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

EC São José Porto Alegre - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 18. Alessandro Vinicius 13. Dener 3. Fredson 4. Jadson 8. Karl 5. Lucas Cunha 17. Nonato 14. Rafael Carillho 11. Thayllon 19. Thiago Santos	1. Luiz A. (G) 3. Allan Godoi 10. Cassinho 9. Felipe 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio (C) 6. Lucas Hipolito 8. Neto E. 22. Santiago Trellez 4. Willian Machado 2. Yago Rocha
Substitutes
15. Bruno Jesus 7. Ferreira C. 22. Gilvan 9. Kelvin Oliveira 21. Lissandro 12. Lorenzo (G) 6. Lucas Sampaio 2. Marco 10. Rondinelly 16. Ryan 24. Vitinho 20. Ze Andrade	7. Dudu Scheit 21. Erik Bessa 13. Fagner Alemao 17. Luidy 20. Marco Antonio 16. Para 15. Pedrinho 19. Rafhael Lucas 14. Savio 12. Talles (G) 18. Vinicius Diniz

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 and 4).

Recent matches EC São José Porto Alegre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário Ferroviario is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

EC São José Porto Alegre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches EC São José Porto Alegre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	São Bernardo - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brusque	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Pouso Alegre - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	4:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.23	Sintrense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
10.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
10.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0
15.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

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