Match Info

Scottish Cup - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Celtic		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11
	1.18	6.75	10.5
	1.17	6.9	12.5
	1.17	7.92	16.07
	1.24	6.55	9.18	Watch
	1.2	6	12
	1.17	7.5	14.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.23)	7.02 ↑ (5.85)	12.29 ↑ (9.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
79%

Draw
13.4%

Dunfermline Athletic
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

15.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sinisalo V. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 27. Engels A. 49. Forrest J. 8. Nygren B. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 38. Maeda D.	13. Oxborough A. (G) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 31. Tod J. 3. Ngwenya K. 10. Todd M. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 18. Abdulai N. 8. Gilmour C. 47. Fraser R. 38. Morrison C. 26. Tod A.
Substitutes
31. Doohan R. (G) 17. Iheanacho K. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 19. Osmand C. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M. 23. Tounekti S.	14. Amade A. 4. Benedictus K. 33. Cooper J. 34. Fyfe L. 5. Hamilton C. 20. Kane Ch. 11. Kearney S. 9. Rudden Z. 40. Terrell B. (G)
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Maeda D. ⚽, Johnston A. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Engels A. ⚽, McGregor C. (A),
40', Gilmour C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
46', Morrison C. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
46', Tod J. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
53', Trusty A. 🟨,
58', Forrest J. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
59', Abdulai N. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Nygren B. (A),
74', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
75', Nygren B. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
79', Tod A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Cooper J. ⚽,
85', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Hampden Park.

Celtic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dunfermline has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

Celtic: 28.43% Dunfermline: 1.56%

Last Results with these Odds

Celtic - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 74.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Celtic - Hearts	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Motherwell - Celtic	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Celtic - Falkirk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
15.05.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
17.08.19	Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ET
Scottish Premier League
22.02.12	Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic	N/A

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