Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 46

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6.25
	1.35	4.7	6
	1.38	5.25	6.83
	1.36	5.1	6.95
	1.36	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.87)	4.93 ↑ (3.6)	6.49 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
67.3%

Draw
18.6%

Concord Rangers
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastbourne Borough's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concord Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastbourne Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eastbourne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Concord will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2.

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concord is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eastbourne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Concord have a series of home games.

In this match Eastbourne is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
22.04.23	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
10.04.23	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Weymouth - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
27.04.23	Concord Rangers - Havant & Waterlooville	3:4 ✺
25.04.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
20.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dartford	3:2 ✺
18.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.09.22	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:4
02.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	2:0
13.11.21	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:1
12.12.20	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:2
25.01.20	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	2:2
07.12.19	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	5:0
27.04.19	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	1:2

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