Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 38

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.3
	2.86	3.5	2.34
	2.89	3.46	2.33	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	2.81	3.45	2.29
	2.85	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.1)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
32.5%

Draw
27.1%

Eastbourne Borough
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welling United's form might have worsened.

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastbourne Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welling United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Welling United - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Alexander G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 2.

Welling is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Welling won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
08.10.24	Worthing - Welling United	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Boreham Wood - Welling United	6:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Welling United - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
05.10.24	Chelmsford City - Eastbourne Borough	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Eastbourne Borough - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
03.09.24	Eastbourne Borough - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.12.23	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2
23.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	2:2
10.04.23	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
13.09.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	0:1
15.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	3:3
04.12.21	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2
31.10.20	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	2:1

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