The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastleigh 32.7%
Draw 28%
Oldham Athletic 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
26.2%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
26.4%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastleigh's performance.
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastleigh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
23.1%
53.8%
Eastleigh - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Oldham will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 2. Brindley R. 6. Francillette L. 15. Gape D. 4. Humphries L. 31. Maher N. 9. McCallum P. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 4. Clucas S. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 19. Gardner D. 14. Garner J. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 16. Raglan C. (C)
Substitutes
5. Fernandez L. 14. Hodson L. 7. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G) 23. Semenyo J. 17. Stepien-Iwumene A. 30. Underhill C.
7. Charsley H. 11. Kay J. 33. Khan O. 35. Moloney S. (G) 22. Reid A. 32. Taylor S. 17. Uchegbulam J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Francillette L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Lundstram J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
61', Garner J. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Raglan C. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Humphries L. ⚽,
70', Clucas S. 🟨,
70', Waruih A. 🟨,
76', McCallum P. 🟨,
79', Gape D. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
79', Raglan C. 🟨,
83', Gardner D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Eastleigh is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Oldham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Eastleigh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Oldham will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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McDonnell J. (G) 
Boutin N. 
Francillette L. 
Humphries L. 
Shade T. 
Monthe M. 
Ogle R. 
Hodson L. 
Maguire C. 
Semenyo J. 
Khan O. 
Uchegbulam J. 
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