Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hartlepool United		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.25
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.9	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.76	3.21	2.54
	2.89	3.52	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.76	3.68	2.3
	2.9	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.68)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
32.7%

Draw
27.2%

Oldham Athletic
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Oldham will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Smith A. (G) 20. Dieseruvwe E. 2. Dodds D. 16. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 9. Madine G. 8. Mancini A. 4. Parkes T. 14. Sheron N. 5. Waterfall L. (C)	1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 4. Clucas S. 19. Gardner D. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 30. Norwood J. 2. Ogle R. 16. Raglan C. (C) 24. Stones J.
Substitutes
. Aungiers J. 7. Hunter J. 32. LuaLua K. 17. Sass-Davies B. 15. Sloggett G. 25. Wallace K. 31. Young B. (G)	9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 11. Kay J. 33. Khan O. 35. Moloney S. (G) 21. Sutton W. . Taylor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Lundstram J. ⚽,
26', Gardner D. 🟨,
38', Monthe M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Waterfall L. ⚽,
41', Stones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Mancini A. ⚽,
56', Stones J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
63', Mancini A. 🟨,
66', Caprice J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
66', Lundstram J. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
68', Madine G. ↓, LuaLua K. ↑,
77', Smith A. 🟨,
78', Mancini A. ↓, Hunter J. ↑,
85', Grey J. ↓, Sloggett G. ↑,
87', Clucas S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.12.24	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	4:3 ✺
21.12.24	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Southend United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Hartlepool United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTLT
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
21.12.24	Braintree Town - Oldham Athletic	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone	3:2 ✺
English National League Cup
10.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Stockton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Leyton Orient - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	2:0
26.12.23	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	1:3
English League Two
01.01.22	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	0:0
18.09.21	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	0:0
English League One
19.03.13	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	3:0
20.11.12	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	1:2
20.03.12	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	N/A

Upcoming Matches