Match Info

National League - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground (Aldershot) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Aldershot Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	3.4	3.55	1.98
	3.52	3.54	2.06
	3.6	3.78	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.45	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.98)	3.5 ↓ (3.68)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
26.2%

Draw
26.3%

Rochdale
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.8%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Aldershot Town - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 42. Penney M. 25. Nightingale W. 33. Inwood S. 9. Thomas K. 17. Henry J. 14. Meerholz J. 7. Hargreaves C. 19. Hill R. (C) 24. Warren C. 23. Ghandour H.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 17. Pritchard J. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 15. Grogan C. 4. Jenkins L. 16. Nash P. (G) 11. Peart B. 31. Sheckleford R.	7. Allarakhia T. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 21. McBride C. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),
27', Henry J. 🟨,
42', Moss D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Inwood S. ↓, Grogan C. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
53', Gilmour H. 🟨,
57', Thomas K. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
57', Penney M. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
66', Ghandour H. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
66', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
66', Rodney D. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
67', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
71', Henry J. ↓, Sheckleford R. ↑,
83', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
83', Barlow A. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
83', Pritchard J. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 1.

Aldershot is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rochdale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aldershot	15	5	3	7	18:19	-1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.98%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.02.26	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Aldershot Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.11.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	1:0
29.03.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:0
07.09.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2
27.01.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	3:1
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1
English FA Cup
16.12.14	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:1
07.12.14	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:0

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