Match Info

National League - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aldershot Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	3.4	3.55	1.98
	3.52	3.54	2.06
	3.6	3.78	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.45	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.98)	3.5 ↓ (3.68)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
26.2%

Draw
26.3%

Rochdale
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.7%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Aldershot Town - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 42. Penney M. 25. Nightingale W. 33. Inwood S. 9. Thomas K. 17. Henry J. 14. Meerholz J. 7. Hargreaves C. 19. Hill R. (C) 24. Warren C. 23. Ghandour H.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 17. Pritchard J. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 15. Grogan C. 4. Jenkins L. 16. Nash P. (G) 11. Peart B. 31. Sheckleford R.	7. Allarakhia T. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 21. McBride C. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),
27', Henry J. 🟨,
42', Moss D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Inwood S. ↓, Grogan C. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
53', Gilmour H. 🟨,
57', Thomas K. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
57', Penney M. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
66', Ghandour H. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
66', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
66', Rodney D. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
67', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
71', Henry J. ↓, Sheckleford R. ↑,
83', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
83', Barlow A. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
83', Pritchard J. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 1.

Aldershot is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rochdale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Outrights of English National League for now

Aldershot: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.98%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.02.26	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Aldershot Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.11.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	1:0
29.03.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:0
07.09.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2
27.01.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	3:1
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1
English FA Cup
16.12.14	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:1
07.12.14	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:0

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