Match Info

National League - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Boston United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5.5
	1.49	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4.25	6.1
	1.47	4.49	6.41
	1.54	3.86	6.23	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.49	4.6	5.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	4.26 ↓ (4.43)	5.91 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
62.6%

Draw
21.7%

Boston United
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

21.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Rochdale - Boston United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 16. Pettit C. 4. East R. 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	21. Cameron D. (G) 20. Rooney J. 23. Grimes J. (C) 40. Lavinier M. 4. Teale C. 26. Gallagher O. 19. Richards J. 17. Lankshear A. 10. Maguire F. 16. Hiwula J. 18. Cursons T.
Substitutes
29. Bilongo B. 19. Burger J. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.	24. Aboh K. 7. Barrington L. 15. Carson M. 2. Grist B. 1. Lovett R. (G) 22. Raikhy A. 6. Sloggett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Cursons T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Hiwula J. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
63', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
68', Lavinier M. 🟨,
72', Grimes J. 🟨,
80', Gordon K. 🟨,
80', Barlow A. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Smith T. ⚽, Moss D. (A),
88', Teale C. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
88', Gallagher O. ↓, Sloggett G. ↑,
89', Allarakhia T. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
90', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 11).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Rochdale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Boston Utd	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTWT
- Boston United
English National League
03.03.26	Boston United - Woking	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Boston United - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Scunthorpe United - Boston United	3:6 ✺
10.02.26	Boston United - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3
18.03.25	Rochdale - Boston United	2:3
10.08.24	Boston United - Rochdale	0:3
English FA Cup
16.12.19	Boston United - Rochdale	1:2
01.12.19	Rochdale - Boston United	0:0

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