Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	10
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.3	4.95	9.4
	1.3	5.06	10.91
	1.34	4.57	9.4	Watch
	1.3	4.6	10
	1.27	4.75	9.8
	1.37	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	4.72 ↓ (4.77)	9.44 ↑ (9.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
70.6%

Draw
19.6%

Brackley Town
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

19.4%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

18%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rochdale - Brackley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 17. Pritchard J. 4. East R. 36. Francis E. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Maxted J. (G) 12. Nottingham M. 5. Morrison K. 19. Lilly Z. 3. Calder R. 11. Lowe M. 23. Byrne S. (C) 8. Brown Z. 17. Elliott-Wheeler A. 15. Wodskou B. 10. Roberts M.
Substitutes
7. Allarakhia T. 19. Burger J. 30. Duku I. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.	20. Andrews J. 6. Dean G. 27. Hall C. 29. Harratt K. 4. Price J. 13. Worby A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Lilly Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pritchard J. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, East R. (A),
63', Francis E. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
63', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
65', Roberts M. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽,
72', Byrne S. ↓, Price J. ↑,
80', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
80', Moss D. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
85', Wodskou B. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
86', Elliott-Wheeler A. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
86', Morrison K. ↓, Dean G. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Lilly Z. ⚽, Price J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Rochdale is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brackley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brackley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWTT
- Brackley Town
English National League
28.02.26	Brackley Town - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Wealdstone - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Brackley Town - Southend United	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Gateshead - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Brackley Town - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1

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