Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 17

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Referee: Ishimaru S. (Jpn)


	Ehime		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.5	3.5
	2.17	3.48	3.42
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.07	3.3	3.42	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	3.39 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
44.9%

Draw
27.7%

Tochigi
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Ehime - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ehime will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tokushige K. (G) 19. Ozaki Y. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 4. Yamaguchi T. 18. Kikuchi S. 6. Tanioka M. 21. Bak Keon-Woo 25. Ishiura T. 11. Fujihara Y. 10. Matsuda R.	27. Tanno K. (G) 33. Rafael Costa 2. Hiramatsu W. 17. Fujitani T. 10. Mori T. 24. Kanbe K. 15. Okuda K. 6. Omori S. 42. Minamino H. 38. Kobori S. 29. Yano K.
Substitutes
9. Duncan B. 8. Fukazawa Y. 13. Kubota R. 49. Kurokawa R. (G) 5. Maeno T. 17. Motegi S. 7. Soneda Y.	23. Fukushima H. 7. Ishida R. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 32. Miyazaki K. 19. Oshima K. 41. Park Y.
Coaches
Ishimaru K.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Rafael Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Yano K. 🟨,
66', Kobori S. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
66', Yano K. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
69', Fujihara Y. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
69', Tanioka M. ↓, Fukazawa Y. ↑,
73', Okuda K. 🟨,
77', Fujitani T. 🟨,
79', Omori S. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
82', Ishiura T. ↓, Soneda Y. ↑,
82', Matsuda R. ↓, Duncan B. ↑,
85', Bak Keon-Woo ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
89', Minamino H. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
89', Mori T. ↓, Fukushima H. ↑,
90+5', Duncan B. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ehime won 1.

Recent matches Ehime is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tochigi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ehime will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ehime won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
18.05.24	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	7:1 ✺
12.05.24	Oita Trinita - Ehime	2:2 ✺
06.05.24	Ehime - Iwaki	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTTW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
19.05.24	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
28.04.24	Tochigi - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.08.21	Ehime - Tochigi	0:1
28.03.21	Tochigi - Ehime	2:1
25.10.20	Ehime - Tochigi	0:1
16.08.20	Tochigi - Ehime	0:0
28.09.19	Ehime - Tochigi	3:2
29.06.19	Tochigi - Ehime	1:2
15.09.18	Tochigi - Ehime	1:3

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