Match Info

Date: 18 July 2021, Sunday


	Ehime		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.45	1.82	Watch
	4	3.55	1.78
	4.43	3.82	1.83
	4	3.4	1.83
	4.3	3.78	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.94)	3.6 ↑ (3.44)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
22.3%

Draw
26%

Tokyo Verdy
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.1%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

20.8%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo Verdy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	8.8%	76.5%

Ehime - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 9).

Ehime is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokyo Verdy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ehime won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
11.07.21	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:0 ✺
04.07.21	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	1:3 ✺
27.06.21	Machida Zelvia - Ehime	5:0 ✺
20.06.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ehime	0:2 ✺
13.06.21	Ehime - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
11.07.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
03.07.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
20.06.21	Sagamihara - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.06.21	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.02.21	Tokyo Verdy - Ehime	3:0
14.10.20	Ehime - Tokyo Verdy	1:4
05.09.20	Tokyo Verdy - Ehime	0:1
20.07.19	Tokyo Verdy - Ehime	3:2
03.03.19	Ehime - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
28.10.18	Ehime - Tokyo Verdy	2:2
26.05.18	Tokyo Verdy - Ehime	0:0

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