Match Info

Date: 20 June 2021, Sunday


	Sagamihara		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.77
	4.74	3.63	1.82
	4.5	3.25	1.78
	4.45	3.64	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.47)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
21.5%

Draw
26.9%

Tokyo Verdy
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.5%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.3%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagamihara's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo Verdy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sagamihara - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 9).

Sagamihara has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tokyo Verdy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tokyo Verdy to win the game is with odds 2.02.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
13.06.21	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
05.06.21	Sagamihara - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.21	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
27.05.21	Sagamihara - Ehime	0:1 ✺
15.05.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan Emperors Cup
16.06.21	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
13.06.21	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
05.06.21	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
29.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Blaublitz Akita	3:1 ✺
23.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL

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