Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)


	Eibar		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.46	4.32	7.73
	1.38	4.74	9.66
	1.4	4.48	8.47	Watch
	1.37	4.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.56 ↑ (4.28)	8.34 ↑ (7.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
68%

Draw
20.7%

Amorebieta
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.7%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Eibar - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 15. Tejero A. 5. Berrocal J. 23. Arbilla A. 2. Gutierrez C. 14. Vencedor U. 30. Soriano M. 17. Corpas J. 10. Aketxe A. 19. Stoichkov 18. Jon B.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 15. Nunez A. 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 7. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
33. Arrillaga H. 4. Correa R. 27. de la Fuente K. 11. Leon S. 29. Madariaga A. 9. Qasmi Y. 7. Quique 22. Simic S. 3. Venancio F. 13. Yoel (G)	30. Cunat P. (G) 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I.
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Stoichkov ⚽, Vencedor U. (A),
14', Soriano M. 🟨,
37', Aketxe A. 🟨,
45+2', Etxeita X. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Aketxe A. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Etxeita X. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Corpas J. ⚽, Stoichkov (A),
67', Stoichkov ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
67', Aketxe A. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
72', Moran E. ↓, Eraso J. ↑,
73', Dorrio J. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
73', Soriano M. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Jon B. ⚽,
81', Morcillo J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, de la Fuente K. ⚽,
84', Gutierrez C. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
86', Jon B. ↓, Qasmi Y. ↑,
90+2', Sibo K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eibar is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Eibar won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
28.04.24	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Eibar - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	FC Andorra - Eibar	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Tenerife - Eibar	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Eibar - Eldense	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Levante - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	2:1
29.07.22	Eibar - Amorebieta	5:2
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.22	Eibar - Amorebieta	1:0
25.09.21	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Amorebieta - Eibar	2:1
17.07.19	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:3

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