Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eibar		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.65
	2.29	3.13	3.54
	2.28	3.00	3.48	Watch
	2.07	3.37	3.83	Watch
	2.32	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.29)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
43.7%

Draw
29.9%

Leganés
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Eibar - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leganés (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Leganés (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leganés (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.54) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leganés (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 17. Corpas J. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Buta L. 8. Nolaskoain P. 14. Olaetxea L. 7. Alkain X. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton 9. Bautista J.	1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 17. Garcia N. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.	21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 22. Figueredo S. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
San Jose B.	Lopez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Marvel 🟨,
36', Pena R. 🟨,
39', Miquel I. 🟨,
42', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Diawara A. 🟨,
53', Moreno M. ↓, Arambarri A. ↑,
53', Olaetxea L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
58', Guruzeta J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Pena R. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
66', Garcia N. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
68', Javier Marton ↓, Villa T. ↑,
68', Alkain X. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
78', Garcia D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
84', Cruz J. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
84', Diawara A. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
85', Garcia D. 🟨,
90+3', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eibar could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Alvarez S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Marvel (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Las Palmas - Eibar	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Eibar - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.25	Leganés - Levante	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	FC Andorra - Leganés	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Leganés - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2
03.09.23	Eibar - Leganés	0:1
28.01.23	Eibar - Leganés	0:0
02.09.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:1
14.05.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:3
04.09.21	Eibar - Leganés	1:1
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Leganés - Eibar	3:1

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